MMA fight prediction Fabrizio Escarrega vs Abe Alsaghir

Fight at Dana White's Contender Series Week 1 2026-08-11

Fabrizio Escarrega
Cachorro

Mexico
Mexico
Weight: 84 kg
Weight categories: Middleweight

Abe Alsaghir
he Kille

United States
United States
Height: 175 sm
Weight categories: Lightweight
Wins Losses Draws
5 1 0
KOs
4
1
Decisions
1
Wins Losses Draws
1 0 0
KOs
1

Main prediction

Winner: Abe Alsaghir
Loser: Fabrizio Escarrega

49.0%
51.0%

If win, then win by:


KO 36.0%

Submission 32.0%

Decision 32.0%


KO 35.0%

Decision 33.0%

Submission 32.0%

Advantages

Short winning streak

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

Advantages

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

Little experience fighting at professional MMA tournaments

Rating prediction

59.0%
41.0%