MMA fight prediction Alberto Montes vs Tommy McMillen

Fight at UFC Fight Night 281 July 18 2026-07-18

Alberto Montes

Venezuela
Venezuela
Age: 32
Birth date: 1994-05-31
Height: 170 sm Weight: 65 kg
Weight categories: Featherweight

Tommy McMillen

United States
United States
Weight: 65 kg
Weight categories: Featherweight
Wins Losses Draws
6 1 0
KOs
1
Submissions
5
Decisions
1
Wins Losses Draws
3 0 0
KOs
1
Submissions
1
Decisions
1

Main prediction

Winner: Alberto Montes
Loser: Tommy McMillen

65.0%
35.0%

If win, then win by:


Submission 40.0%

KO 30.0%

Decision 30.0%


KO 34.0%

Decision 34.0%

Submission 32.0%

Advantages

Short winning streak

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

Break between fights

  • Possible loss of fitness and competitive tone

Advantages

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

Short winning streak

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

Rating prediction

63.0%
37.0%