MMA fight prediction Yadong Song vs Umar Nurmagomedov

Fight at UFC Fight Night 286 Nurmagomedov vs. Song 2026-08-29

Yadong Song
The Terminator

China
China
Age: 31
Birth date: 1994-12-02
Height: 167 sm Weight: 65 kg
Weight categories: Featherweight

Umar Nurmagomedov

Russia
Russia
Height: 172 sm Weight: 61 kg
Weight categories: Bantamweight
Wins Losses Draws
23 6 1
KOs
9
2
Submissions
4
Decisions
10
4
Draws
1
Wins Losses Draws
20 1 0
KOs
2
Submissions
7
Decisions
11
1

Main prediction

Winner: Umar Nurmagomedov
Loser: Yadong Song

40.0%
60.0%

If win, then win by:


Decision 37.0%

KO 33.0%

Submission 30.0%


Decision 41.0%

KO 30.0%

Submission 29.0%

Advantages

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

Lower

Advantages

Higher

Short winning streak

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

Rating prediction

32.0%
68.0%

Opposition crossing

Deiveson Figueiredo

Result Date Event
Win
Submission
(Guillotine)
Round: 2 Time: 4:42 		2026-05-30 UFC Fight Night 277
Song vs. Figueiredo
Event Date Result
UFC 324
Gaethje vs. Pimblett 		2026-01-24 Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00

Cory Sandhagen

Result Date Event
Loss
TKO
(Мedical stoppage)
Round: 4 Time: 5:00 		2022-09-17 UFC Fight Night 210
Sandhagen vs. Song
Event Date Result
UFC on ABC 7
Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov 		2024-08-03 Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 5 Time: 5:00