MMA fight prediction Nasrat Haqparast vs Chris Padilla

Fight at UFC Fight Night 285 Hernandez vs. Rodrigues 2026-08-22

Nasrat Haqparast

Afghanistan
Afghanistan
Age: 30
Birth date: 1995-08-22
Height: 177 sm Weight: 70 kg
Weight categories: Lightweight

Chris Padilla
Taco

United States
United States
Height: 175 sm Weight: 70 kg
Weight categories: Lightweight
Wins Losses Draws
18 6 0
KOs
10
2
Submissions
1
Decisions
8
3
Wins Losses Draws
15 5 1
KOs
8
1
Submissions
4
2
Decisions
3
2
Draws
1

Main prediction

Winner: Nasrat Haqparast
Loser: Chris Padilla

55.0%
45.0%

If win, then win by:


Decision 37.0%

KO 34.0%

Submission 29.0%


KO 36.0%

Decision 34.0%

Submission 30.0%

Advantages

A bit higher

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

Advantages

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

A little lower

Rating prediction

52.0%
48.0%