MMA fight prediction Mateusz Rebecki vs Grant Dawson

Mateusz Rebecki
Chinczyk

Poland
Poland
Weight: 70 kg
Weight categories: Lightweight

Grant Dawson
The Prophet

United States
United States
Age: 32
Birth date: 1994-02-20
Height: 177 sm Weight: 65 kg
Weight categories: Featherweight
Wins Losses Draws
18 5 0
KOs
8
2
Submissions
6
1
Decisions
4
2
Wins Losses Draws
24 3 1
KOs
5
3
Submissions
14
Decisions
5
Draws
1

Main prediction

Winner: Grant Dawson
Loser: Mateusz Rebecki

21.0%
79.0%

If win, then win by:


KO 34.0%

Decision 34.0%

Submission 32.0%


Submission 37.0%

KO 32.0%

Decision 31.0%

Advantages

A bit heavier

Disadvantages

Defeat series

Disadvantages

A bit lighter

Rating prediction

40.0%
60.0%

Past fights

Loss

Event:

Date: 2026-05-09

Submission (Rear-naked choke)

Round: 3 Time: 4:42

Win

Opposition crossing

Result Date Event
Loss
TKO
(Punch)
Round: 3 Time: 4:51
2024-05-11 UFC on ESPN 56
Lewis vs. Nascimento
Event Date Result
UFC 311
Makhachev vs. Moicano
2025-01-18 Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00