MMA fight prediction Kai Asakura vs Qileng Aori

Fight at UFC Fight Night 286 Nurmagomedov vs. Song 2026-08-29

Kai Asakura

Japan
Japan
Height: 172 sm Weight: 56 kg
Weight categories: Flyweight

Qileng Aori

China
China
Height: 170 sm Weight: 56 kg
Weight categories: Flyweight
Wins Losses Draws
16 6 0
KOs
10
3
Submissions
1
2
Decisions
5
1
Wins Losses Draws
21 12 0
KOs
6
2
Submissions
2
3
Decisions
13
7

Main prediction

Winner: Kai Asakura
Loser: Qileng Aori

71.0%
29.0%

If win, then win by:


KO 37.0%

Decision 35.0%

Submission 28.0%


Decision 36.0%

KO 34.0%

Submission 31.0%

Advantages

A bit higher

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

Advantages

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

A little lower

Rating prediction

69.0%
31.0%