MMA fight prediction Jack Hermansson vs Kelvin Gastelum

Jack Hermansson
The Joker

Sweden
Sweden
Age: 37
Birth date: 1988-06-10
Height: 185 sm Weight: 84 kg
Weight categories: Middleweight

Kelvin Gastelum

United States
United States
Age: 34
Birth date: 1991-10-24
Height: 175 sm Weight: 77 kg
Weight categories: Welterweight
Wins Losses Draws
24 10 0
KOs
11
5
Submissions
6
2
Decisions
7
3
Wins Losses Draws
18 11 0
KOs
6
Submissions
4
4
Decisions
8
7

Main prediction

Winner: Jack Hermansson
Loser: Kelvin Gastelum

55.0%
45.0%

If win, then win by:


Decision 39.0%

KO 31.0%

Submission 30.0%


Decision 37.0%

KO 34.0%

Submission 30.0%

Advantages

A bit heavier

Significantly higher

Disadvantages

A bit older

Short series of defeats

Advantages

A little younger

Disadvantages

A bit lighter

Much lower

Rating prediction

55.0%
45.0%

Past fights

Win

Event:

Date: 2020-07-18

Submission (Heel hook)

Round: 1 Time: 1:18

Loss

Opposition crossing

Ronaldo Souza

Result Date Event
Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 5 Time: 5:00 		2019-04-27 UFC Fight Night 150
Jacare vs. Hermansson
Event Date Result
UFC 224
Nunes vs. Pennington 		2018-05-12 Win
Decision

Round: 3 Time: 5:00

Jared Cannonier

Result Date Event
Loss
TKO
(Punch)
Round: 2 Time: 0:27 		2019-09-28 UFC Fight Night 160
Hermansson vs. Cannonier
Event Date Result
UFC on ESPN 29
Cannonier vs. Gastelum 		2021-08-21 Loss
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 5 Time: 5:00

Joseph Pyfer

Result Date Event
Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 5 Time: 5:00 		2024-02-10 UFC Fight Night 236
Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Event Date Result
UFC 316
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 		2025-06-07 Loss
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00

Chris Curtis

Result Date Event
Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00 		2022-07-23 UFC Fight Night 208
Blaydes vs. Aspinall
Event Date Result
UFC 287
Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 		2023-04-08 Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00