MMA fight prediction Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel de Souza Bonfim

Fight at UFC Fight Night 278 Muhammad vs. Bonfim 2026-06-06

Belal Muhammad
Remember the Name

United States
United States
Age: 37
Birth date: 1988-07-09
Height: 177 sm Weight: 77 kg
Weight categories: Welterweight

Gabriel de Souza Bonfim
Marrentinha

Brazil
Brazil
Age: 28
Birth date: 1997-08-20
Height: 182 sm Weight: 77 kg
Weight categories: Welterweight
Wins Losses Draws
24 5 0
KOs
5
1
Submissions
1
Decisions
18
4
Wins Losses Draws
15 0 0
KOs
3
Submissions
10
Decisions
2

Main prediction

Winner: Belal Muhammad
Loser: Gabriel de Souza Bonfim

51.0%
49.0%

If win, then win by:


Decision 43.0%

KO 30.0%

Submission 27.0%


Decision 36.0%

Submission 32.0%

KO 32.0%

Advantages

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

More experience fighting in professional MMA tournaments

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

Short series of defeats

Lower

Older

Advantages

Higher

Younger

Long winning streak

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

Rating prediction

50.0%
50.0%

Opposition crossing

Stephen Thompson

Result Date Event
Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00 		2021-12-18 UFC Fight Night 199
Lewis vs. Daukaus
Event Date Result
UFC on ESPN 70
Lewis vs. Teixeira 		2025-07-12 Win
Decision

Round: 3 Time: 5:00

Randy Brown

Result Date Event
Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00 		2017-02-11 UFC 208
Holm vs. De Randamie
Event Date Result
UFC Fight Night 264
Bonfim vs. Brown 		2025-11-08 Win
TKO
(Knee)
Round: 2 Time: 1:40