MMA fight prediction Jailton Junior vs Evgeniy Goncharov

Fight at ACA 207 Goncharov vs. Almeida 2026-09-12

Jailton Junior
Malhadinho

Brazil
Brazil
Weight: 84 kg
Weight categories: Middleweight

Evgeniy Goncharov

Russia
Russia
Age: 40
Birth date: 1986-08-03
Height: 185 sm Weight: 114 kg
Weight categories: Heavyweight
Wins Losses Draws
19 4 0
KOs
7
1
Submissions
12
Decisions
3
Wins Losses Draws
23 3 0
KOs
8
2
Submissions
2
1
Decisions
13

Main prediction

Winner: Evgeniy Goncharov
Loser: Jailton Junior

10%
90%

If win, then win by:


Submission 34.0%

Decision 34.0%

KO 33.0%


Decision 41.0%

KO 33.0%

Submission 26.0%

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

Over the past 2 years at tournaments of this promotion, the percentage of victories of fighters from the country in which the tournament is heldis 61%. Possible selection of convenient rivals for domestic fighters

Short series of defeats

Significantly lighter

Advantages

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

Over the past 2 years at tournaments of this promotion, the percentage of victories of fighters from the country in which the tournament is heldis 61%. Possible selection of convenient rivals for domestic fighters

Significantly heavier

Winning streak

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

Rating prediction

45.0%
55.0%