MMA fight prediction Drew Dober vs Carlos Diego Ferreira

Fight at UFC Fight Night 174 Weidman vs. Hermansson 2020-05-02

Drew Dober

United States
United States
Age: 37
Birth date: 1988-10-19
Height: 172 sm Weight: 70 kg
Weight categories: Lightweight
Martial arts: Taekwondo Muay Thai

Carlos Diego Ferreira

Brazil
Brazil
Age: 41
Birth date: 1985-01-18
Height: 172 sm Weight: 70 kg
Weight categories: Lightweight
Wins Losses Draws
28 15 0
KOs
12
4
Submissions
9
4
Decisions
7
7
Wins Losses Draws
19 7 0
KOs
5
4
Submissions
7
Decisions
7
3

Main prediction

Winner: Carlos Diego Ferreira
Loser: Drew Dober

29.0%
71.0%

If win, then win by:


KO 35.0%

Decision 35.0%

Submission 30.0%


Decision 38.0%

Submission 31.0%

KO 31.0%

Advantages

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

A little younger

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

A bit older

Short series of defeats

Rating prediction

37.0%
63.0%

Opposition crossing

Beneil Dariush

Result Date Event
Loss
Submission
(Armbar)
Round: 2 Time: 4:41 		2019-03-09 UFC Fight Night 146
Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Event Date Result
UFC Fight Night 184
Overeem vs. Volkov 		2021-02-06 Loss
Decision

Round: 3 Time: 5:00
UFC 179
Aldo vs. Mendes 2 		2014-10-25 Loss
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00

Olivier Aubin-Mercier

Result Date Event
Loss
Submission
(Rear-naked choke)
Round: 2 Time: 2:57 		2016-12-10 UFC 206
Holloway vs. Pettis
Event Date Result
UFC on Fox 18
Johnson vs. Bader 		2016-01-30 Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00

Alexander Hernandez

Result Date Event
Win
TKO
(Punch)
Round: 2 Time: 4:25 		2020-05-13 UFC Fight Night 171
Smith vs. Teixeira
Event Date Result
UFC Fight Night 259
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva 		2025-09-13 Loss
TKO
(Punch)
Round: 2 Time: 3:46