MMA fight prediction Walt Harris vs Alistair Overeem

Fight at UFC Fight Night 172 Overeem vs. Harris 2020-04-11

Walt Harris
The Big Ticket

United States
United States
Age: 43
Birth date: 1983-06-10
Height: 195 sm Weight: 113 kg
Weight categories: Heavyweight

Alistair Overeem
The Reem

Netherlands
Netherlands
Age: 46
Birth date: 1980-05-17
Height: 195 sm Weight: 116 kg
Weight categories: Heavyweight
Wins Losses Draws
14 10 0
KOs
13
5
Submissions
1
Decisions
1
3
Wins Losses Draws
47 19 0
KOs
23
14
Submissions
19
2
Decisions
5
3

Main prediction

Winner: Walt Harris
Loser: Alistair Overeem

54.0%
46.0%

If win, then win by:


KO 45.0%

Decision 29.0%

Submission 27.0%


KO 38.0%

Submission 31.0%

Decision 31.0%

Advantages

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

A little younger

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

Big break between fights

  • Loss of physical fitness and competitive tone are likely

Defeat series

Advantages

Significantly greater experience fighting in professional MMA tournaments

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

Big break between fights

  • Loss of physical fitness and competitive tone are likely

A bit older

Rating prediction

45.0%
55.0%

Past fights

Loss

Event:

Date: 2020-05-16

TKO (Punch)

Round: 2 Time: 3:00

Win

Opposition crossing

Alexander Volkov

Result Date Event
Loss
TKO
(Body shot)
Round: 2 Time: 1:15 		2020-10-24 UFC 254
Nurmagomedov vs. Gaethje
Event Date Result
UFC Fight Night 184
Overeem vs. Volkov 		2021-02-06 Loss
TKO
(Punch)
Round: 2 Time: 2:06

Fabricio Werdum

Result Date Event
Loss
Submission
(Armbar)
Round: 1 Time: 1:05 		2017-10-07 UFC 216
Ferguson vs. Lee
Event Date Result
UFC 213
Romero vs. Whittaker 		2017-07-08 Win
Decision
(Split)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00
Overeem vs. Werdum
None 		2011-06-18 Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00
Pride FC
Total Elimination Absolute 		2006-05-05 Loss
Submission
(Kimura)
Round: 2 Time: 3:43

Alexey Oleynik

Result Date Event
Win
KO
(Punch)
Round: 1 Time: 0:12 		2019-07-20 UFC on ESPN 4
Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
Event Date Result
UFC Fight Night 149
Overeem vs. Oleynik 		2019-04-20 Win
TKO
(Punch)
Round: 1 Time: 4:45

Andrei Arlovski

Result Date Event
Win
Decision

Round: 3 Time: 5:00 		2018-12-29 UFC 232
Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Event Date Result
UFC Fight Night 87
Overeem vs. Arlovski 		2016-05-08 Win
TKO
(Punch)
Round: 2 Time: 1:12