MMA fight prediction Gabriel Lourenco vs Charlie Cleveland

Fight at Dana White's Contender Series Week 4 2026-09-01

Gabriel Lourenco

Brazil
Brazil
Weight categories: Middleweight

Charlie Cleveland

United States
United States
Height: 187 sm
Weight categories: Heavyweight
Wins Losses Draws
1 0 0
Decisions
1
Wins Losses Draws
4 0 0
KOs
3
Decisions
1

Main prediction

Winner: Charlie Cleveland
Loser: Gabriel Lourenco

22.0%
78.0%

If win, then win by:


Decision 34.0%

Submission 33.0%

KO 32.0%


KO 35.0%

Decision 35.0%

Submission 30.0%

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

Break between fights

  • Possible loss of fitness and competitive tone

Little experience fighting at professional MMA tournaments

Advantages

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

Winning streak

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

Rating prediction

50.0%
50.0%